English>

Market News

China to Tax Bond Interest Income After Decades of Exemption - BLOOMBERG

AUGUST 04, 2025

(Bloomberg) -- China said it plans to tax interest income on bonds issued by the government and financial institutions, in a surprise move that’s prompted investors to reevaluate their debt market positions.

The government will resume collection of value-added tax on interest income from bonds sold by central and local governments, as well as those from financial institutions starting Aug. 8, the Ministry of Finance said in a statement released on Friday. Bonds issued before that, including the reopening sales on these notes, will be exempted from the tax.

The new rule is likely to push up the cost of borrowing new debt, especially as the interest income on sovereign bonds had been tax exempt since the 1990s. It has also spurred investors to lap up existing bonds, pushing yields further down, as they seek to avoid the tax on new notes.

Taking the general 6% rate on value-added tax into consideration, “the change in tax policy will introduce a cost for investing in newly-issued bonds, and make the old notes appealing,” Huatai Securities analysts including Zhang Jiqiang wrote in a note. This may widen the yield gap between existing and new bonds by about five to ten basis points, they estimate.

Outstanding amount of bonds issued by the central and local governments, as well as those from financial institutions accounted for nearly 70% of the nation’s total as of end-June. The tax on these notes would provide another route for Beijing to expand its revenue and support growth, but it could also raise the cost of funding at a time when the economy remains vulnerable.

Yields on China’s 30-year bonds edged lower on Friday on the news, before stabilizing on Monday at 1.94%. The nation’s 10-year yield held at steady at 1.69% after falling one basis point in the last session.

Tax exemption on sovereign bonds’ interest income was initially introduced to encourage buying and to facilitate fund-raising by the government, China Financial and Economic News, a newspaper overseen by the finance ministry reported on Friday. These policies were extended in China’s value-added tax system overhaul in 2016.

“With China’s bond market now ranking second largest in the world, the preferential policy of exempting bond interest income from value-added tax has completed its historical mission,” the report said, citing Liang Ji, a research director at Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences.

With the latest tax expected to erode returns on bonds, investors are likely to start shifting money into other assets. Chinese bank stocks, that have benefited when bond yields fell to record lows earlier in the year, rose following the tax announcement on Friday.

Huachuang Securities also expects corporate bonds and negotiable certificate of deposits to be other beneficiaries of the tax move as the relative value of government and financial bonds declines.

In a quarterly monetary policy report published in May, the People’s Bank of China briefly mentioned differentiated tax arrangements for Chinese bonds and pledged to optimize market structure and rules, without listing details. The exemption of interest income on government bonds incentivizes more trading and amplifies yield swings, the report said.

Serena Zhou, an economist at Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd. said she expects the tax to limit a sharp drop in bond yields. “The tax arrangement will likely curb banks’ appetite for government bonds,” she said.

--With assistance from Shulun Huang and Masaki Kondo.

(Updates with bank stocks’ reaction in 9th paragraph and additional comments in paragraph 10 and 12.)

SEE HOW MUCH YOU GET IF YOU SELL

NGN
This website uses cookies We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners who may combine it with other information that you've provided to them or that they've collected from your use of their services
Real Time Analytics