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Romanian central bank expects inflation surge and will keep rates on hold, governor says - REUTERS

AUGUST 12, 2025

BUCHAREST, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Romania's central bank nearly doubled its annual inflation forecast for this year on Tuesday, but it expects a return to target in 2026 and will keep interest rates steady for now, Governor Mugur Isarescu said.

The bank expects inflation to be running at 8.8% in December, compared with its previous forecast of 4.6% as tax hikes and higher electricity prices drive up prices.

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Inflation should peak at 9.6%-9.7% in September, the bank said, and it forecast the headline rate to then fall to 3.0% by the end of 2026, compared with the 3.4% previously expected.

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