English>

Market News

IMF sees Canada's economy rebounding, says government needs 'fiscal anchor' - REUTERS

MARCH 19, 2021

OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's economy is likely to rebound this year as long as COVID-19 is brought under control, but the government should introduce a "fiscal anchor" to ensure credibility in debt management, the IMF said on Thursday.

"The size and scope of policy support (in Canada) has been unprecedented" during the pandemic, the International Monetary Fund's executive board said in its annual report.

"The recent sharp rise in public debt increases the importance of clearly specifying a medium-term fiscal anchor... to guard against a potential weakening of credibility in the fiscal framework," the IMF said.

Canadian net debt jumped to 48% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 from 23.4% the previous year and is projected to come down only marginally this year, to 47.4%, according to the report.

The IMF said the government had been "strong, decisive, and well-coordinated" in its response to the pandemic, and that direct fiscal support during the pandemic had added up to about 15% of GDP.

The IMF forecast economic growth of 4.4% this year after a 5.4% decline in 2020. The new U.S. $1.9 trillion stimulus package "will further boost Canadian growth," the IMF said.

Looking ahead, Canada's Liberal government has said it would spend up to 3-4% of GDP to help boost growth once the pandemic is under control. That stimulus is expected to be announced in a new budget due as early as next month.

The IMF urged Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government to "carefully balance short-term risks to growth and financial stability" against vulnerabilities, including "those emanating from a persistent buildup of leverage and rising house prices".

(Reporting by Steve Scherer; Editing by Nick Zieminski and Dan Grebler)

SEE HOW MUCH YOU GET IF YOU SELL

NGN
This website uses cookies We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners who may combine it with other information that you've provided to them or that they've collected from your use of their services
Real Time Analytics