Market News
Dollar to decline further on U.S. fiscal, growth and trade risks: Reuters poll
BENGALURU, June 4 (Reuters) - Falling demand for U.S. dollar-denominated assets will push the greenback lower in coming months, according to FX strategists surveyed by Reuters, as concerns mount about the U.S. federal deficit and debt.
U.S. President Donald Trump's erratic tariff policies, along with the House of Representatives recently passing a tax-cut and spending bill that would add $3.3 trillion to an already-enormous $36.2 trillion debt pile, have many investors worried.
Long-term bond yields have soared on a rising 'term premium' – compensation for holding longer-duration debt – leading to swathes of asset outflows and a near-10% fall in the dollar against a basket of major currencies (.DXY)nce mid-January. Its usual close relationship with 10-year Treasury yields has also broken down. Asked what would happen to demand for dollar-denominated assets in a May 30-June 4 poll, a near-90% majority, 59 of 66 FX strategists, said it would decline. "It's quite evident right now there is a 'sell-America' trade playing out, and how much dollar demand decreases depends on the extent to which U.S. growth is perceived to be hit by the current policies of the administration," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank.