Market News

•Speculation, hoarding reemerges 

•Push Naira to N1,450/$ in parallel market

By Babajide Komolafe, Economy Editor

The declining fortunes of the Naira persisted yesterday with further depreciation in the parallel and official markets due to the re-emergence of speculation and hoarding, even as some Bureaux De Change, BDCs withdrew from the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN’s, dollar sales program.

Vanguard also learnt that despite the sustained nationwide raids and arrest of street currency hawkers, the Naira further depreciated yesterday to N1,435 per dollar in the parallel market, from N1,415 per dollar on Tuesday, and also depreciated to N1,421.06 per dollar in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market, NAFEM.

Data from FMDQ showed that the indicative exchange rate for NAFEM fell to N1,421.06 per dollar from N1,416.57 per dollar on Tuesday, indicating N4.49 depreciation for the naira.

Consequently, the margin between the parallel market and NAFEM rates widened to N13.94 per dollar from N1.57 per dollar on Tuesday.

Dollar sales to BDCs

In a bid to intervene in the retail segment of the forex market, the CBN in February resumed dollar sales to BDCs. Since then the apex bank has held three editions of the dollar. At the last edition, the CBN offered to sell $10,000 per BDCs at directing them to sell at the maximum margin of 1.5 per cent

BDC operators however complained dollar disbursement from CBN is too slow that and takes three to four weeks between when they make payment and when the dollars are disbursed to them.

Vanguard reliably gathered that as a result of this delay and the uncertainty in the forex market, some BDCs, have asked the CBN to refund their Naira payment.

Top BDC operators who confirmed this development to Vanguard under the condition of anonymity said that some of the BDCs that asked for refunds have gotten their money.

Speaking to Vanguard on condition of anonymity, the Chief Executive of a BDC said, “I think the CBN is overwhelmed. You pay money and it takes one month for you to collect $10,000. It is over a month now since they intervened and they have not intervened again.

“Even the last one that they did some BDCs are just collecting the dollars. Some are even saying they should return their money. They are asking for a refund because there are many challenges. Some have paid but their name is appearing in another location which makes it impossible to collect the dollars. Some are getting their refund but it is a very slow pace too.”Also speaking on condition of anonymity, another BDC operator said, “There is no supply. The CBN supply is slow. They sell one tranche for one month. It is too low. If they don’t have the money they should tell us we don’t have the money.”

Speculation reemerges

Vanguard investigations also revealed the reemergence of speculation and hoarding in the forex market due to the steady depreciation of the Naira in the last three weeks.

Speaking anonymously, a BDC operator said, “You know people are still doubtful. A lot of people now at any opportunity, buy dollars and keep, thinking that the rate will go up again. So speculation and hoarding are still happening.

“Before when people are scared, they bring out their dollars to sell. But now nobody is doing that. Supply is not coming into the market. There is no certainty about the frequency and volume of intervention from CBN. And this further encourages speculation and hoarding.”

Efforts for the CBN to respond to the above developments proved abortive as the Director, of Corporate Communication, CBN, Mrs Hakama Sidi-Ali, did not respond to calls and SMS and WhatsApp messages from Vanguard.